Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Mar 6 Oct 2009 - 22:21
merci à iswt qui nous retransmet cette info de Kirby, dont voici le texte et la source
Citation:
Posté par iswt · nouveau kirby : ATTENTION Auj. à 21:51 si c vrai on entre en pleine zone dangereuse
To all subscribers;
I want to let you all know that there is a VERY important corollary to my earlier fast blast. I’ve been told that players requesting physical metal in settlement have been offered significant “off-market” fiat premiums if they would settle in fiat rather than physical. The implications here folks are HUGE: it means that gold is ACTUALLY IN BACKWARDATION NOW.
I say this because, Antal Fekete has just come out with a piece saying the gold price break-out is not confirmed because there is no backwardation in the gold price.
His assumptions are false – gold “IS” in backwardation NOW and it’s being hidden from us.
Best, Rob Kirby
Posté par iswt · en gros ils n arrievent plus a honorer Auj. à 22:11 les contrats physiques donc proposent un "settlement" en cahs au lieu d or physqiue au dessus du "spot" theorique et des futures
cela revient a dire que le vrai spot est au dessus du futures (papier) donc en backwardation
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ce qui ne m'étonne pas et confirme à la fois les observations de Douglas sur le reporting totalement bidonné des mouvements de physique ds les warehouses du comex
ainsi que la réglementation du comex qui permet de livrer de l'etf ( donc du papier ) en lieu et place du physique
_________________ Pépite Bull
Dernière édition par marie le Lun 19 Oct 2009 - 23:25, édité 5 fois
marie skipper
Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Mer 7 Oct 2009 - 0:32
Rob Kirby… a bird on a wire told me so Bill; I’ve been told by someone who "knows" that major players demanded a lot of physical gold on Sept. 30 and "clowns" tried every trick to keep them in paper and even offered premium in cash over the Sept.30.Spot price. Allegedly, the BOYZ were told that they have 5 days of grace to come up with the real goods. The results are obvious. There is less then 600 metric tons of Au available [globally] at this point in time [for possible sale] and 1/2 is locked / frozen and cannot be moved. The delivery commitments are a multiple of this. The battle is on and the first guys are being taken out of the room with bullet holes in their forehead. There might be one last great concerted effort by the BOYS to knock back the price. But even they know by now that they have lost control and that their construct of lies, fraud and deceit is coming down. It will get - no, it is - very, very, very ugly. On top of it we shall see the collapse of some Gulf states, as well as some major US and European banks hitting the skids. Rob... It would seem – if my sources are correct – that we have finally reached "the point" that Frank Veneroso speculated about so many years ago – when price managers would "RUN OUT" of physical gold to continue their paper games. My ‘bird on a wire’ source continues;
The jerks are being hung by their thumbs and there is nothing they can do. The very little Au that is available globally and it has been blocked from being sold to the BOYZ. JPM/Chase is scrambling at every refinery to get their hands onto product. They even go to mines, no, - as we call it 'going to the pit to get it to the cage', but they don't have the required access and are being strung out big time. They did not see this coming. They will fight but they are being pushed onto their own swords. Arrogance comes before the fall. I say, couldn’t happen to a nicer group of criminal thugs. Best, Rob Kirby
_________________ Pépite Bull
marie skipper
Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Jeu 8 Oct 2009 - 21:15
Bill; Regarding my bird on a wire source re: difficulties settling physical gold bullion demanded Sept. 30; I have been told that no less than two Central Banks have become involuntarily involved in this settlement process – one of them being British [BoE] involving sub-standard [by LBMA good delivery standards] bars that require further refining to meet delivery / contract standards. This whole process "continues to REEK" of malfeasance at the VERY highest levels and my ‘bird on a wire’ source tells me this all portends for a gold price dramatically higher in short order. R
_________________ Pépite Bull
phv matelot
Nombre de messages: 110 Date d'inscription: 02/03/2009
Sujet: Lien original Rob Kirby / Hardball now playing at theaters near you Dim 11 Oct 2009 - 1:42
London, 09 October 2009 - The LME has met with several high-profile members of the London bullion market recently and believes there are grounds for further talks, LME CEO Martin Abbott confirmed on Friday.
"I can confirm a recent meeting," Abbott told FastMarkets by phone. "As a result of the meeting, we believe that there are grounds for us to continue discussions with bullion market participants. There is no timeline."
The meeting is believed to have taken place on September 24, with at least five high-profile members of the bullion market meeting members of the exchange.
Representatives of large bullion bank, including HSBC, Goldman Sachs International, JP Morgan, ScotiaMocatta, and Deutsche Bank were in attendance, FastMarkets understands. Of these, all but ScotiaMocatta are LME members.
Although the subject of the meetings has not been disclosed, the London bullion market has, since the start of the year, been considering a new model for their over-the-counter gold forward contracts to cut counterparty risks, credit costs, and prepare for a new era of stricter regulation.
Competitor CME Group introduced on September 20 its OTC forward clearing offering to the London market, while clearing house LCH.Clearnet has vowed to have a service ready by April next year.
Discussions may also have touched on other services the LME could offer such as help with developing data collection and monetisation.
The LME said in July it was holding exploratory talks with members of the freight industry. It called for the development of a London Baltic Freight Exchange, which has so far met with a mixed reception.
(Editing by Mark Shaw)
First, I draw everyone’s attention to the date this meeting allegedly took place – Sept.24, 2009. Now, take a look at what happened to the price of gold the very next day – and ask yourself who might have known this was going to happen?????:
Rob Kirby
_________________ Pépite Bull
nofear barreur
Nombre de messages: 243 Date d'inscription: 03/10/2009
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Jeu 15 Oct 2009 - 22:07
un rajout par Rob kirby
By: Rob Kirby
Earlier this week, I wrote about possible “incongruities” in the gold bar registry of GLD. Specifically, here is what has happened to the GLD bar list which is published each Friday at approximately 4:30 pm EST. An alert reader I communicate with [who shall remain anonymous] has been documenting the length of the published GLD bar list:
- on Friday, Sept. 25 – the list was 1,381 pages long - on Friday, Oct. 2 – the list was 208 pages long - on Friday, Oct. 9 – the list was 195 pages long - then, on Wednesday, Oct. 14 – after questions were being raised about the strange machinations with the bar list in chat rooms on the internet – the list was back up to 855 pages long
Something TRULY stinks here. No explanation has been offered for the DRAMATIC swings in this list. Where gold is concerned nothing happens by accident.
Loco London clearing is the daily paper unallocated transfers between London clearers; the transfers of gold and silver only across accounts held between clearers for their own accounts and third parties; and, as mentioned earlier, the clearing out of Zürich for the platinum group metals. It avoids security risk and the cost of physical movement of bullion; has standard market practices…
[However] Both allocated and unallocated account agreements are available. There are allocations for credit purposes, bilateral credit agreements between clearers, and London good delivery….
Some short definitions: an unallocated account is an account where specific bars are not set aside, and the customer has a general entitlement to the metal. This is the most convenient, cheapest, and most commonly used method of holding metal. The allocated account, on the other hand, is an account opened when a customer requires metal to be physically segregated, and this needs a detailed list of weights and assays….
To Summarize:
- GLD gold bullion inventory is principally held in London - I’ve already written about some large [allocated] physical transactions that were settled last week in London under VERY strange circumstances indicative of a shortage of physical gold bullion for good delivery. - At the same time, significant irregularities appeared in the GLD bullion bar list
Conclusion:
- is the correlated timing of these unusual events a coincidence???? Could GLD inventory have been utilized to effect these physical settlements, which in turn, would have required the “sanitization” or doctoring of the GLD bar list to avoid MANY obvious, easily detectable, duplications of bar numbers?
I discussed these irregularities with a very informed source [the same one who informed me of specific [allocated] trades settled last week] and the reply I received was as follows:
“What can I tell you that you don't already know?
They are all scrambling big time since a number of large interests have demanded audits. Independent auditors are NOW descending onto the various vaults to verify, validate and certify.
They can move this as many times in circles as they like to try to fool people.
In an Asian depository they’ve found “Good Delivery” bricks that had been gutted and filled with tungsten.
Soon, there will be xxxx hitting the fan all over place.”
These circumstances suggest that [size=18]a VERY REAL physical short squeeze is in progress RIGHT NOW and a gang of fraudsters from “fiat-crack-houses” [Central Banks] are attempting to finesse their losing over-sold hand in an elaborate Three-card Monty. With reports of independent physical audits now being conducted and mysterious happenings with GLD’s bar list – GLD has NEVER looked more suspect. Hope you’ve all got some physical gold already.[/size]
marie skipper
Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Dim 18 Oct 2009 - 17:18
alors là, vous allez en tomber sur le cul !!
du tungsténe dans un bullion vault asiatique ! cad de fausses barres d'or, valides pour la livraison.. des barres en tungstène, recouverte d'une couche d'or, tungstène qui, arnaque subtile, a le même densité que l'or ! cette fraude ayant été détectée, suite à une série d'audits des bullion vaults, demandées par de "gros intérêts"
Citation:
Rob Kirby
I discussed these irregularities with a very informed source [the same one who informed me of specific [allocated] trades settled last week] and the reply I received was as follows:
“What can I tell you that you don't already know?
They are all scrambling big time since a number of large interests have demanded audits. Independent auditors are NOW descending onto the various vaults to verify, validate and certify.
They can move this as many times in circles as they like to try to fool people.
In an Asian depository they’ve found “Good Delivery” bricks that had been gutted and filled with tungsten.
Soon, there will be xxxx hitting the fan all over place.”
d'où viennent ces fausses barre d'or?? le suspect idéal serait la banque d'angleterre
Speaking of fraud and the grim reaper… doctored gold bars Dear Bill, That was quite the bombshell from Rob Kirby yesterday about the "good delivery" bars filled with tungsten. When I was a bullion dealer, I was always on the lookout for counterfeits and tampered bars. In the last PM bull market, some 100 oz silver bars were drilled and filled with lead. However, this can be easily detected by weighing with a decent scale, as lead has a different density than silver.
However, the tungsten filled gold bars indicate a very sophisticated fraud. Not only is tungsten cheap, it has the SAME density as gold - 19.3 g/cc. Assuming the ends are sealed smoothly, you can touch and weigh the bars all you want, you can't be sure they are pure gold without cutting into them. Panic is likely to break out among professionals as the news of this fraud spreads. If you can't trust the "good delivery" bars what can you trust? These are supposed to have a guaranteed purity and then never leave the custody of trusted individuals so that investors don't have to assay them. Who knows what will be found as more large investors demand full audits?
It's amazing how lately so many gold stories back up GATA research. GATA has pointed out repeatedly that swapping, leasing, and paper games were necessary to keep the gold price down as the central banks didn't have the metal they claimed. Here is yet another instance of investors believing they hold X amount of bullion but in reality owning a mere fraction. It's a Ponzi scheme just like the Madoff scandal, and will end just as badly. All the best, Jennifer Barry www.globalassetstrategist.com
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qui aurait demandé ces audits? ça pourrait bien être la chine, qui rappatrie dare dare son or à Honk Hong
Dave from Denver... Some thoughts on Rob Kirby's GLD article Someone on my blog asked me if I had any more info/insight on the Rob Kirby/GLD scandal. This was my response: I don't know any specifics on that situation other than what Rob Kirby has reported. I have exchanged emails with Rob about the delivery situation he reported last week. I know enough about how deliveries work and have experienced delays in silver from the Comex via HSBC to know that what he reported about the delivery situation with gold on the LME is most likely 100% authentic. We also know that China has publicly announced that they are recalling ALL gold being safekept in London and other cities and moving it to Hong Kong. If there is a game of musical chairs being played with 400 oz. bullion bars, that may be related to the China situation. There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that a massive trend of legal owners of physical bullion are seeking to take actual physical possession of the gold they own, or at least move it to a depository they can monitor. Given the size of the "paper short" position vs. physical supply, I suspect we are on the cusp of seeing the massive shortage of physical vs. paper outstanding exposed, masssive defaults on paper obligations, and a MASSIVE move higher in the price of gold. I also suspect that China's announcement that they may default on oil derivatives a few weeks ago may be related to the risk they feel they are exposed to of the UK and US banks defaulting on gold/silver contracts.
_________________ Pépite Bull
marie skipper
Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Lun 19 Oct 2009 - 23:29
Bill, To add another note to the "doctored gold bars" caper, and after reading Adrian’s post re the resistivity test for gold vs. tungsten, I checked into the specific gravity of GOLD vs. TUNGSTEN. Interestingly they are almost exactly the same. GOLD has a specific gravity (density) of 19.32 and TUNSTEN has a specific gravity of 19.25—certainly this tiny differenced could not be noticed by human movement of bars and probably not with many very large multi ton scales. I had not realized that tungsten and gold had almost identical densities. http://www.reade.com/Particle_Briefings/spec_gra.html SpecificGravityTableForCeramics, Metals & Minerals Gold coin (U.S.)17.18 - 17.2 Gold, pure19.32 Tungsten19.25 Silver, pure10.4 - 10.6 Pure tungsten is a steel-gray to tin-white metal generally obtained as a powder. Tungsten has the highest melting point and lowest vapor pressure of all metals, and at temperatures over 1650°C has the highest tensile strength. The metal oxidizes in air and must be protected at elevated temperatures. It has excellent corrosion resistance and is attacked only slightly by most mineral acids. Tungsten (symbol W) is hard to melt. The melting point of Tungsten is 3422°C (degrees Celsius). The melting point of gold is about 1064 °C. Cheers, Chris K.
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[b]Gold filled with Tungsten?
Though the densities of gold and Tungsten are close they are not the same. Gold has a density of 19.32 g/cc and Tungsten has a density of 19.25 g/cc. This is a difference in density of 0.36 %, which is quite small. The densities of two different elements cannot be identical as that is impossible. As I have seen it described on the internet, a Tungsten ingot with a much higher melting point than gold (3410 deg C versus 1064 deg C) is electroplated/clad with gold that is approximately 1/16th inch thick costing about $50,000 to make versus the cost of pure gold being about $400,000 for a 400 oz deliverable bar. The difference is that a tungsten-filled bar would weigh about 1.4 oz less than a 400 oz pure gold bar. So, it would be very hard to detect by casual observation such as weighing, sound, etc. I would think that one relatively easy test would be to drill a small diameter hole in the suspect bar and visually analyze to see if any tungsten (silver in color) was present from a hole drilled approximately 1/8th inch deep into the bar. Keep the drill shavings! J I am not sure about Adrian’s electrical resistance check for determining authentic gold. I took one of my gold bars and hooked up my digital multi-meter to it and came up with a resistance of 0.000 ohms! Since a nano-ohm is 1x10-9 ohms (0.000000001 ohms) my digital multi-meter can’t read resistance that accurately! How many people have a super accurate shop meter around to measure resistance? While Adrian’s resistance test will work if you are testing resistance of the separate metals I am not sure how that would work with tungsten clad with gold. I would think that since current flow mostly on the surface of a metal for A/C current while flowing through the entire wire cross section for D/C current flow, that a reliable test would have to use D/C current to determine the presence of tungsten inside a gold bar. I am not sure if a reliable density test could be performed using water and an accurate weight scale as the density difference of only 0.36 % is quite small but accurate measuring devices could determine this. I would think that placing a small hot probe on one side of the suspect bar that would melt the gold down to a depth at which the tungsten would be contacted thus stopping the gold melting probe while still leaving all the gold on the bar would be another way to detect bogus tungsten/gold bars without removing the gold from the bar. How many of us have a 1,064 degree C hot probe around? Isn’t it curious that the US government has recently pushed to eliminate tungsten filament incandescent light bulbs replacing them with mercury laden fluorescent light bulbs? Perhaps they used the tungsten to fill their gold bars in Fort Knox? This could explain the continuing flow of gold into the market if the US government melted down all the gold in Fort Knox and sold it into the market place with tungsten core/gold plated bars. Hmmmm. Perhaps the US has been flooding the market place with gold plated tungsten while keeping most of the gold at home? Gold has an electrical resistance of 22.14 nano ohms per meter (nÙ·m), while copper has an electrical resistance of 17.2 nÙ/m and silver has an electrical resistance of 15.87 nÙ/m. http://wiki.answers.com/Q/How_many_nano_ohms_transferred_per_metre_in_copper So silver is the metal with the lowest resistance to electrical current flow. I am going to hope that my gold is all pure and not tungsten filled at this point. I don’t know how to ascertain with absolute certainty that my gold is pure. I’m sure that others out there reading this column regularly are wondering the same thing about their gold bars. I am all ears Adrian. Duty Is Ours, Dan Mason Adrian… Bill, From the email you have had it looks like we will need to have a basic physics and electricity review to clear things up! Resistivity is the electrical resistance of a block of material that measures one meter by one meter by one meter. If we take a 400 ozs gold bar it will be approximately 26 cms by 5 cms by 5 cms . This means the resistance is the resistivity x 10000/25 x 100/26. For gold this is 34 micro-ohms for tungsten it is 82 micro-ohms. No! You can not measure this with your multi-meter from Home Depot or Radio Shack because that is made for measuring the resistance of highly resistive things. You need a special meter to measure the resistance of conductive materials. There are many devices to do this here is one of them http://www.ipfonline.com/store/product s/40083.html?catid=40083 It has a range of 0.1 micro ohms to 20 kilo ohms so the measurements of a fake and real gold bar are well within its measuring range. This is not for amateur hobbyists; it is sophisticated equipment but for those who wrote saying it wasn’t scientifically possible to do are wrong…you just can’t do it with your cheap multimeter from Radio Shack! Cheers Adrian On Sun, 18 Oct 2009 14:41:10 -0700 (PDT), bradhale wrote: Chris I don't have Adrian Douglas's contact details so thought I'd email you. Hope you don't mind.
Having read tonght,s Midas I was considering Adrian’s solution to the problem of determining if the LGD bar needed a full assay using a rapid method.
Adrian suggested a conductivity test. However I think this may not work as the electrical current would pass around the gold plate and not through the tungsten. I'll ask my friend who has a PHd in electrical engineering though tomorrow.
A quick test would be to determine the flexural rigidity of the bar.
The LGD bar could be placed in a rig supported at both sides and a known mass placed in the centre. A digital gauge could easily measure the tiny amount of flex in the bar. QUOTE:
Bill, As a technical point, for anyone wanting to determine if a bar is genuinewithout melting it is to measure the resistivity of the bar. Gold is threetimes more conductive to electricity than tungsten with a resistivity of 22.14 nano-ohm.m versus 52.8 nano-ohm.m for tungsten. So accurate electrical measurements can easily recognize a fake bar with a simple non-destructive test. Cheers Adrian
OBSERVATION (from an Electrical Engineer who understands the measurement of resistance at very close to zero ohms):
Using a resistance measurement is literally impossible (as opposed to easy) because the contact between the measuring equipment and the gold bar would never, ever, ever be good enough to determine anything. But lets look at other possibilities based on the physical properties of gold... short of melting it.
SOLUTION #1: The Chinese used to strike gold coins and listen to the ring to determine if the coin was made of solid gold or not, which left "chop marks" on the coins. A similar method can be applied to large gold bars (and would also work with coins), but leaving no marks of any kind:
The resonant frequency of a genuine solid gold bar and a tungsten core gold bar will be vastly different. The gold bar is placed on a piece of felt with a contact type microphone under it. A high power (like 100 watts) audio sweep generator connected to a suitable transducer is placed within a few thousandths of an inch above the bar. The sweep frequency generator sends sonic energy into the bar while the microphone reads the reaction of the bar from below. Genuine bars will all be within a narrow band of resonance - the microphone output will increase an order of magnitude at the resonant frequency of the gold bar. A tungsten filled bar will resonate at much high frequencies. The larger the bar, the lower the resonant frequency, and the shape of the bar will affect the resonant frequency as well, so a known good bar must be tested to determine the resonant frequency, and a list of resonant frequencies for each bar type, shape and weight could be published. But maybe there is a more simple test...
SOLUTION #2: Thermal conductivity of Gold is twice that of Tungsten. Testing goes like this: The bar being tested is heated to 70 degrees F, then set on end on a block of ice at 20 degrees F. The ice at the bar quickly melts a little to form a good thermal contact with the bar. A non-contact thermometer measures the change in temperature at the top of the bar with respect to time. A good bar will always show about the same drop in temperature in the same amount of time. A tungsten filled bar takes perhaps 30% longer to achieve the same temperature shift. This test requires no precision temperature controls because it is the shape of the temperature curve that tells if the bar is pure gold.
Solution #3: This test is the most expensive, but irrefutable and non-destructive. It involves the use of industrial X-ray equipment, like that used to X-ray welds of 16-inch steel pipes in power plants. It uses radioactive cobalt as a source of X-rays (actually Gamma rays). This test should always be done together with a genuine gold bar, so that both bars are X-rayed at the same time - this precludes having a gold plated piece of tungsten passing the test. Solution #2 should always be done anyway, as any significant amount of tungsten will be discovered.
You would still want an assay of the gold to determine fineness.
If it has a tugsten filling it will be very stiff and can be subjected to a complete assay. If the bar is 999.999 fine bullion it will flex a lot more and can be put to one side until the suspect bars have been checked. This is non-destructive and the bar would not be deformed by the flex if the bending force was low enough.
I don't know the dimensions of a LGD bar but I could provide detailed calcs if you think the idea has merit.
Some quick data:
Tungsten- Youngs Modulus 411 GPa Gold -Young's Modulus 78 GPa GPa is Newtons per meter squared, times ten to the power 9.
Regards Brad Hale BEng(Hons) CEng MIPlantE MSOE Chris, Bill, Looks viable to me. Good engineering solution! Cheers Adrian If only café readers would come up with as many plans to eliminate the Cartel it would be superb!!! Cheers Adrian Bill BTW tungsten is about $100 pet mt compared to gold at 32 million dollars per mt! Cheers Adrian [/b]
_________________ Pépite Bull
marie skipper
Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Lun 19 Oct 2009 - 23:55
la derniére étude de Fekete à ce sujet, assez furax qu'on lui trafique "son outil" le gold basis ... ( en gros et pour faire simple, un outil qui permet de mesurer le degré de backwardation des futures gold comex )
avec un commentaire très éclairé d'un lecteur du midas sur l'or de fort knox, les fameuses barres Rossvelt à 22 carats au lieu de 24 qui refont surface.. et l'or de la Bundesbanq
Bill H on Antal Fekete’s piece at The Toulouse-Lautrec Table: To all; the above link is to an article posted today by Antal Fekete. He speaks of COMEX and ETF hanky panky with physical (or lack of) Gold. He also mentions that 22 karat Gold has been seen "popping" up again as it had very early this year. This Gold can only come from the West Point depository which houses the "coin melt" Gold that was confiscated back in 1933. This is very interesting because back in 2003 or 04 James Turk found evidence of 1700 tons of "Gold swaps" with the Germans for this amount and it was believed that the "good delivery" German Gold was then leased or sold into the market place. Now that the "coin melt" Gold is turning up where it should not, the Germans want THEIR Gold delivered back to them. My first thought is GOOD LUCK! The swapped U.S. Gold in German possession has already gone to market and the German Gold in U.S. possession is surfacing when it shouldn't. The Germans, Swiss and Koreans want their U.S. custodial Gold returned while the Arabs are calling London to deliver theirs. Is this coincidence? Dr. Fekete also talks of backwardation where spot Gold trades at a premium to future "promised Gold". This should NEVER happen with "money" unless trust becomes questioned. If we enter true backwardation, as Mr. Fekete states, physical Gold will be pulled from the market and will not be available for sale at ANY fiat price. I believe he is absolutely correct in his hypothesis and the "Mother of all short squeezes" will result in both Gold and Silver. Regards, Bill H.
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nofear barreur
Nombre de messages: 243 Date d'inscription: 03/10/2009
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Mar 20 Oct 2009 - 14:10
la suite:
Related ANECDOTAL input which surfaced yesterday… Dear Mr. Murphy!In yesterday's Midas you reported something about "doctored gold bars". I posted it on my gold website www.hartgeld.comShortly thereafter I received a message from a well established tungsten dealer in Germany: He stated that recently strange enquires for large quantities of pure tungsten came to him from Asia. The people making these enquiries are not known in the industry. He thinks they buy for someone else. Maybe it has something to do with these "doctored gold bars", or not. If it is the case, it must be a large scale operation. They seem to look in the whole world for tungsten. Maybe it is to exchange the contents of gold stores (like GLD) and make them "audit proof". It is not easy to find out, if a "gold bar" has a tungsten core or not - except by melting it. Which financial auditor would do it? probably none, because it is too much effort and they believe in the LGD-system. Bringing such bars onto the market is another thing, because the buyer might test them. The gold cartel would do this only in the most dire emergency, because it the fraud becomes open, almost nobody would trust the LGD-system anymore. It probably has already happened. If these bars mentioned in Midas show a paper trail back to a cartel bank, bad for this bank. Is their situation already this bad? Besides, making tungsten "gold bars" requires a quite sophisticated operation, this metal has a very high melting point, but is the only one with the same density as gold. Also, forging the necessary paper trail is not easy for the common criminal, but easy for a bank. Most gold refineries in Europe trust nobody and no gold coming in. They melt, test and re-refine everything. Imagine, a lot of tungsten cores showing up in London Good Delivery bars. Maybe a large number of doctored bars is already out, but nobody has tested them? As it looks, the gold cartel is on its last legs.Best Regards from Vienna, Austria Walter Eichelburg Nothing gets by Adrian, or Rob K for that matter… Bill, As a technical point, for anyone wanting to determine if a bar is genuine without melting it is to measure the resistivity of the bar. Gold is three times more conductive to electricity than tungsten with a resistivity of 22.14 nano-ohm.m versus 52.8 nano-ohm.m for tungsten. So accurate electrical measurements can easily recognize a fake bar with a simple non-destructive test. Cheers Adrian Bill, This is interestinghttp://www.roskill.com/report.html?id=82QUOTE There have been very few new applications for tungsten in recent years and most end use markets are relatively mature. This means that average growth rates tend to be generally in line with cyclical economic activity. However, global demand rose from 45,100tW in 2002 to 60,500tW in 2005, an average of 10%py. Demand for tungsten is forecast to grow by an average 3%py to 2010, when it will reach 68,250t. END So there were no new uses for tungsten yet there was a sudden spike in demand where the annual growth rate tripled from 2002-2005. I calculate the anomalous extra demand to equal 21,000 t. That is certainly a very provocative number after my recent article!! This is by no means proof of anything but a sudden massive increase in demand for a metal that has no new applications and is in a mature market is difficult to explain away. Perhaps there WAS a new use for tungsten that very few people know about…like making fake LGD gold bars! Most LGD bars will be kept in vaults in London and not be re-assayed if they don’t leave the vault. An almost water tight fraud once they are accepted in to the vault that even auditors could not detect. The plot thickens! Auditors will need to be armed with equipment to make electrical resistivity tests! Cheers Adrian Bill BTW tungsten is about $100 pet mt compared to gold at 32 million dollars per mt! Cheers Adrian Is that all a scandal maker? NO, not yet anyway. But it is worthy of sending this input to gold holders all over the world. “EH?” … as our friends up north might say. No harm no foul there. For sure, it adds potential fuel to the growing stink of in the gold market that something is seriously wrong about gold inventories. SMOKE? It is more like the worst smoke-filled Californian’s experience after a dry season and the Santa Anna winds kick into high gear. It certainly ought to make gold owners take notice about the status of gold in GLD, or other suspect depositories, and it certainly ought to make them want to read Adrian’s two latest…10/16 Adrian Douglas - HOW MUCH GOLD HAS BEEN SOLD THAT DOESN’T EXIST?http://www.lemetropolecafe.com/chien_du_cafe.cfm?pid=8151
[size=9]OBSERVATION (from an Electrical Engineer who understands the measurement of resistance at very close to zero ohms):
Using a resistance measurement is literally impossible (as opposed to easy) because the contact between the measuring equipment and the gold bar would never, ever, ever be good enough to determine anything. But lets look at other possibilities based on the physical properties of gold... short of melting it.
SOLUTION #1: The Chinese used to strike gold coins and listen to the ring to determine if the coin was made of solid gold or not, which left "chop marks" on the coins. A similar method can be applied to large gold bars (and would also work with coins), but leaving no marks of any kind:
The resonant frequency of a genuine solid gold bar and a tungsten core gold bar will be vastly different. The gold bar is placed on a piece of felt with a contact type microphone under it. A high power (like 100 watts) audio sweep generator connected to a suitable transducer is placed within a few thousandths of an inch above the bar. The sweep frequency generator sends sonic energy into the bar while the microphone reads the reaction of the bar from below. Genuine bars will all be within a narrow band of resonance - the microphone output will increase an order of magnitude at the resonant frequency of the gold bar. A tungsten filled bar will resonate at much high frequencies. The larger the bar, the lower the resonant frequency, and the shape of the bar will affect the resonant frequency as well, so a known good bar must be tested to determine the resonant frequency, and a list of resonant frequencies for each bar type, shape and weight could be published. But maybe there is a more simple test...
SOLUTION #2: Thermal conductivity of Gold is twice that of Tungsten. Testing goes like this: The bar being tested is heated to 70 degrees F, then set on end on a block of ice at 20 degrees F. The ice at the bar quickly melts a little to form a good thermal contact with the bar. A non-contact thermometer measures the change in temperature at the top of the bar with respect to time. A good bar will always show about the same drop in temperature in the same amount of time. A tungsten filled bar takes perhaps 30% longer to achieve the same temperature shift. This test requires no precision temperature controls because it is the shape of the temperature curve that tells if the bar is pure gold.
Solution #3: This test is the most expensive, but irrefutable and non-destructive. It involves the use of industrial X-ray equipment, like that used to X-ray welds of 16-inch steel pipes in power plants. It uses radioactive cobalt as a source of X-rays (actually Gamma rays). This test should always be done together with a genuine gold bar, so that both bars are X-rayed at the same time - this precludes having a gold plated piece of tungsten passing the test. Solution #2 should always be done anyway, as any significant amount of tungsten will be discovered.
You would still want an assay of the gold to determine fineness.
If it has a tugsten filling it will be very stiff and can be subjected to a complete assay. If the bar is 999.999 fine bullion it will flex a lot more and can be put to one side until the suspect bars have been checked. This is non-destructive and the bar would not be deformed by the flex if the bending force was low enough.
I don't know the dimensions of a LGD bar but I could provide detailed calcs if you think the idea has merit.
Some quick data:
Tungsten- Youngs Modulus 411 GPa Gold -Young's Modulus 78 GPa GPa is Newtons per meter squared, times ten to the power 9.
Regards Brad Hale BEng(Hons) CEng MIPlantE MSOE[/size]
marie skipper
Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Mar 3 Nov 2009 - 0:55
avis d'expert sur la détection de faux lingots au tungstène : les ultrasons
Bill and the Midas group, As a metallurgist with a level 2 ultrasonic certification I am qualified to say this - there is a very simple and very reliable way to detect tungsten overlaid with gold. That method is an ultrasonic test. Yes gold and tungsten have almost identical denisities so checking it by water displacement and specific gravity will not work.
Tungsten has an acoustic impedance of 101.0 [MRayls=(kg/(sxm2)x106]
As you can see a very significant difference tungsten is like 60% GREATER acoustic impedance. In layman's terms acoustic impedance is the materials resistance or ability of sound to travel thru it. So if you were to ultrasonically test pure gold vs tungsten overlaid with gold the ultrasonic signal response would be VERY different and very noticeable. UT test can also detect air gaps.
So if the Chinese depository or whoever wants to NON DESTRUCTIVLEY test for this all they would have to do is get an utrasonic tester and have somone who preferably is a certified ultrasonic inspector check for it. An expenive unit and probes needed for the job would cost less than 15K. If you know anyone within those depositories that want to check their gold I would suggest they use this method as a quick screeen maybe you can tell your stalker source this.
All those other methods that were described like X-ray diffraction, atomic aporption, mass spectometer only detect near the surface so it would not work on a big hunk of metal. Charley
_________________ Pépite Bull
nofear barreur
Nombre de messages: 243 Date d'inscription: 03/10/2009
Sujet: la suite Rob kirby or tungstène Ven 13 Nov 2009 - 6:09
avec les commentaires de Harvey.
explosif et saignant , le GLD tiendra encore combien de temps dans cette fuck dancing ?
Citation:
Nov 12.09 commentary..extremely important...more information on the tungsten "gold bars"
Good evening to you all:
First of all before going into todays gold and silver trading, Rob Kirby has sent to us more findings on the tungsten "gold" bar caper.
Kirby's newest commentary is simply earth-shattering.
Here is a summary of his findings. The complete article follows my comments.
1. As I reported to you a few weeks ago, there were reports of 400 0z bars of gold found in the Bank of England filled with tungsten.
It was reported to you that tungsten has the same specific gravity of gold, so it is easy to manufacture a fake brick. Only an electrical test
could determine which bar is real.
2. Kirby also identified that the GLD list in London had the bar list go from 1381 pages to under 200 and then back to 800 pages, even though
the gold inventory of GLD was increasing from 1080 tonnes to gold to its present value of 1118 tonnes.
3. During the week of Oct 1.09, there were irregular physical gold settlements and the Bank of England had to intervene on behalf of JPMorgan and
Deutsche Bank as these two banks did not have the physical gold backing its delivery.
4. China is known as the knock off capital of the world. Everyone thought that they were the manufacturers of these tungsten bricks. The Chinese
were the ultimate buyers of these tungsten bricks and they decided that they needed to get to the bottom of this fiasco. In their interrogation process they found the perpetrators
and put them behind bars and in the process discovered that it was the usa who orchestrated the manufacture of these fake bars
5. The usa manufacturered anywhere btw. 1.3 to 1.5 million bars of 400 0z weight or roughly 16,000 metric tonnes.
The usa holds 8,000 meteric tonnes of gold and the world roughly 30,000 metric tonnes.
6. Approximately 640,000 of these tungsten bricks of 400 oz weight were shipped to Fort Knox. The weight in oz is 256 million oz which is roughly the 8,000 tonnes of gold
that Fort Knox supposedly holds.
7. The remaining 8,000 metric tonnes were shipped to international centres and sold on the international market. Many of thse bars ended up at the GLD.
8. Kirby has documents which show that his folks have copies of original shipping documents with dates and EXACT WEIGHTS OF THE TUNGSTEN BARS
SHI{PPED TO FORT KNOX.
9. This may help explain why Rothschild's left in 2004 as they probably knew that many of the bricks at the B of E were fake.
10. It may help explain why no news came out on the raid at the Nymex in Feb 2004 where the District Attorney was investigating Stuart Smith, VP of
operations at the Nymex. We has issued a search warrant and he abruptly left and to this day has not been heard from.
The above will help explain why I cannot balance supply and demand of gold. We know that demand is somewhere around 4500 tonnes of gold and supply around 2400 tonnes and
thus the deficit was funded with supplies from central banks. The above ground gold supplied by the central banks came through the leasing process.
The leasing of gold started in 1988 and with a deficit of 2000 tonnes per annum, the world should have run out of gold a few years ago. It did not.
Now we know why!!!!!!
Everything now makes sense and the balance of "gold" supplied into the market was in reality tungsten bricks.
I will be working with Don Jack with a formal complaint on this.
Nombre de messages: 2493 Date d'inscription: 18/08/2005
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Ven 13 Nov 2009 - 11:15
Ca pue de plus en plus cette histoire ; je suis bien content avec mes pièces et lingots : ils vaudront d'autant plus.
marie skipper
Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: Re: Kirby / gold en backwardation / fausse barres de livraison en tungstène Ven 13 Nov 2009 - 15:15
purée !!
Fort Knox, mérite bien son x à la fin ... puisqu'il multipilie les barres d'or ..
Fort Tungstène !!
ps: Kirby oublie Aig..
il n'y a pas que Rothschild qui a quitté le statut de market maker au lbma en 2004 , Aig idem ! et à peu près à la même date ! ( avril pour Rothschild et juin pour Aig ) sans compter bien entendu, la création de GLD, toujours en 2004 .. ( décembre )
LONDON, June 1 (2004) (Reuters) - AIG International Limited, part of American International Group Inc, will no longer be a London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) market maker in gold and silver, the LBMA said on Tuesday.
LBMA Chief Executive Stewart Murray told Reuters AIG had been reclassified as a member and so would still trade, with effect from close of business on Friday May 28.
AIG was a first-tier market maker and dealer in over-the-counter spot, forward, option and swap markets in precious metals. Murray said the company requested to be reclassified….. –END-
_________________ Pépite Bull
marie skipper
Nombre de messages: 11353 Date d'inscription: 05/02/2005
Sujet: LBMA Ven 13 Nov 2009 - 19:58
pour ceux qui lisent mal l'anglais : résumé rapide des principaux éléments
le 18 octobre dernier, à la suite d'un audit dans un coffre de honk hong, on découvre une bonne quantité ( 60 T) de barres d'or, standart monétaire ( LBMA) fourées au tungstène ces barres appartaenant aux chinois, ont pour provenance directe, les stocks du LBMA cet audit aurait été fait à la Demande des chinois, qui venaient de se faire livrer les barres en question .. les barres au tungsténe ne sont pas détectables au poids.. mais uniquement par une technique sophistiquée d'ultrason
voici ce que les chinois, disent avoir découvert :
1999: entre 1.3 et 1.5 millions de barre ( moules ) de tungstène de 400 oz ( 16.000 tonnes métriques ) ont été raffinées aux usa par un raffineur renommé.
640.000 de ces moules tungsténe ont reçu leur plaquage or , et ont été expédiées à fort knox Kirby connait les personnes qui ont documents du transfert à FK. poids et dates des barres fourrées,
les barres moules restantes ont également été plaquées or et vendu sur le marché international
jusqu'en2004, tout va bien.. personne ne se doute de ren ..
mais en février de cette année là , le vice président du nymex, Stuart Mill..est inquiété par une enquête d'un avocat de Manhattan.. s'il y a bien un endroit où l'on peut disposer des statistiques officielles de l'origine ( poids, raffineur, dates etc) des barres, c'est bien au nymex .. le pauvre S Mill, disparait littéralement ds la nature et plus personne n'a jamais entendu parler de lui ..
puis les choses semblent se précipiter .. en avril de la même année , Rothshield claque la porte du LBMA , suivi en juin par AIG
enfin en déc de la même année, est crée l'etf GLD, qui comme vous le savez "satisfait" aux demandes de livraison physique sur le comex ..
l'étude du brillant Veneroso, que j'ai maintes fois évoquée ici .. prévoyait que compte tenu du déficit annuel de 1500-2000 T / an, le cartel devait se trouver à court il ya déjà 2 ou 3 ans ..
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